Tynedale Agricultural Society Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle
Hexham ยท 17:50 (UK local)
Tuesday, 19 May 2026
2m 7f 63y
Distance
Turf
Surface
Good (Good to Soft in places)
Going
15
Runners
Prize: ยฃ9,100 added
AI Top 3 Picks
Shighness
J: Joshua Thompson ยท T: Micky Hammond
Micky Hammond often targets Hexham with well-prepared runners, and Shighness has shown glimpses of form that suggest this testing trip could be ideal. The conditional jockey's allowance further enhancโฆ
Twoplacesatonetime (IRE)
J: Ellis Collier ยท T: R Menzies
This horse has been running consistently well in similar company and the step up in trip could unlock further improvement. Trainer R Menzies often has horses primed for these handicaps.
Watchoutitscookie (IRE)
J: Murray Dodd ยท T: N J Hawke
While inconsistent, Watchoutitscookie possesses the ability on its day and could be well-handicapped. A strong finish is expected if the pace is true and the stamina holds out.
Model confidence: 38% ยท capped at 50% for racing's structural variance
Full Racecard (15 runners)
| # | Draw | Horse |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | โ | โ Shighness |
| 2 | โ | Jeteye (IRE) |
| 3 | โ | Dillarchie |
| 4 | โ | Artiste D'ainay (FR) |
| 5 | โ | East Eagle (IRE) |
| 6 | โ | My Boy Christy (IRE) |
| 7 | โ | Valette (IRE) |
| 8 | โ | โกTwoplacesatonetime (IRE) |
| 9 | โ | Seeyainthesuninn |
| 10 | โ | โขWatchoutitscookie (IRE) |
| 11 | โ | Reagrove Lord (IRE) |
| 12 | โ | Bray Dale |
| 0 | โ | Man Of Action (IRE) |
| 0 | โ | Better Be Definite |
| 0 | โ | Buto |
Wgt = weight (st-lb) ยท OR = official rating ยท PR = Sky Sports power rating ยท HG = headgear (b/v/cp/t/h/p) ยท Last = days since last run
Key Race Factors
- โขStamina is paramount on Hexham's undulating, testing course with a steep uphill finish.
- โขConditional Jockeys' race means jockey allowances will play a significant role in the weights.
- โขLarge field of 15 runners increases the complexity and potential for traffic issues.
- โขTrainer form, particularly Micky Hammond's record at Hexham, is a key consideration.
- โขPotential for softer ground conditions, which would further emphasize stamina.
Risk Assessment
- โขLarge field (15 runners) in a handicap hurdle increases unpredictability.
- โขConditional Jockeys' race can lead to less experienced rides and potential errors.
- โขTesting course conditions at Hexham place high demands on stamina, leading to potential fallers or horses fading quickly.
- โขHandicap nature means all horses are theoretically well-weighted, making it highly competitive.
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Bet Shighness ยท AI confidence 35%
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How These Predictions Work
These predictions are AI-generated using current racecard data and search-grounded analysis. Horse racing is structurally high-variance โ even the most-favoured horse wins only ~30โ35% of races. Use AI predictions as one input among many, alongside your own form study and trusted tipsters. Bet responsibly.