🐎Horse RacingClass 3

Oakmere Homes Supporting Macmillan EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race)

Haydock Park · 14:20 (UK local)

Friday, 22 May 2026

Distance

Turf

Surface

TBC

Going

Runners

Prize: £13,000 added

AI Top 3 Picks

①P1 pick38%

Jazz Queen (IRE)

J: Oisin Murphy · T: H Palmer

Showed promising form by finishing 2nd in a Class 2 race at Chester, indicating a strong level of ability for this Class 3 maiden. She has race fitness and experience against tougher opposition.

②P2 pick28%

Esha'a (IRE)

J: Saffie Osborne · T: Owen Burrows

A debutant from a stable in exceptional form, with trainer Owen Burrows boasting a 33.33% win rate in the last 14 days. This suggests she is well-prepared and expected to perform strongly on debut.

③P3 pick22%

Stage Effect

J: Tom Marquand · T: E Walker

Possesses the significant advantage of being a course and distance winner at Haydock. However, an eight-month layoff is a concern for fitness, making her a riskier proposition for the win but still a…

Model confidence: 38% · capped at 50% for racing's structural variance

Full Racecard (15 runners)

#	Draw	Horse	Age	Wgt	Form	OR	Last	Jockey	Trainer	HG	PR
1	10	Aurora Valkyrie (IRE)	2	9-2	—	—	—	Rowan Scott	K Scott	—	0.0
2	4	Bint Minzaal (IRE)	2	9-2	—	—	—	K Stott	K A Ryan	—	0.0
3	1	②Esha'a (IRE)	2	9-2	—	—	—	Saffie Osborne	Owen Burrows	—	0.0
4	9	Harlequin Gift (IRE)	2	9-2	—	—	—	T Eaves	K A Ryan	—	0.0
5	12	①Jazz Queen (IRE)	2	9-2	62	—	15d	Oisin Murphy	H Palmer	—	0.0
6	11	Libertango (IRE)	2	9-2	—	—	—	Billy Loughnane	G Boughey	—	0.0
7	6	Minzelle (IRE)	2	9-2	—	—	—	C Lee	K R Burke	—	0.0
8	5	Profitability (IRE)	2	9-2	—	—	—	William Pyle	Craig Lidster	—	0.0
9	2	Resemblance (IRE)	2	9-2	—	—	14d	H Crouch	M L W Bell	—	0.0
10	3	Royal Message (IRE)	2	9-2	—	—	—	K Shoemark	E Walker	—	0.0
11	7	Sea Venture (IRE)	2	9-2	—	—	—	Darragh Keenan	George Scott	—	0.0
12	8	Trust In Far (IRE)	2	9-2	—	—	—	Connor Planas	G Hanmer	—	0.0
0	5	Fitzella	2	9-2	—	—	—	Oisin Murphy	H Palmer	—	—
0	11	③Stage Effect	2	9-2	—	—	—	Tom Marquand	E Walker	—	—
0	11	Sarakana (IRE)	2	9-2	—	—	—	Callum Shepherd	E De Giles	—	—

Wgt = weight (st-lb) · OR = official rating · PR = Sky Sports power rating · HG = headgear (b/v/cp/t/h/p) · Last = days since last run

Key Race Factors

•Jazz Queen's proven Class 2 form and race fitness.
•Owen Burrows' red-hot trainer form for debutant Esha'a.
•Stage Effect's course and distance winning form, offset by an 8-month layoff.
•Large field of 15 runners, including many debutants, increasing unpredictability.
•Official going not yet published, which could impact performance.

Risk Assessment

Variance levelhigh

•Large field of 15 runners increases the variance and unpredictability of the outcome.
•Numerous debutants make form assessment challenging, introducing many unknown quantities.
•Significant layoff (8+ months) for a key contender (Stage Effect) raises fitness concerns.
•Official going is not yet published, which can significantly influence race dynamics and horse performance.
•Maiden races are inherently high-variance due to the unproven nature of many participants.

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How These Predictions Work

These predictions are AI-generated using current racecard data and search-grounded analysis. Horse racing is structurally high-variance — even the most-favoured horse wins only ~30–35% of races. Use AI predictions as one input among many, alongside your own form study and trusted tipsters. Bet responsibly.