Irish Stallion Farms EBF Vintage Tipple Stakes (Fillies' and Mares' Listed)
Gowran Park (IRE) · 18:07 (UK local)
Tuesday, 5 May 2026
1m 6f
Distance
Turf
Surface
TBC
Going
13
Runners
Prize: €50,000 added
AI Top 3 Picks
Moody (IRE)
J: Billy Lee · T: P Twomey
Trainer P Twomey has an excellent record with fillies in stakes races, and Moody could be a progressive type well-suited to this extended trip. Her recent form suggests she's ready for this step up in…
Denim And Diamonds (IRE)
J: Declan McDonogh · T: J P O'Brien
From a powerful stable, Denim And Diamonds is likely to be well-prepared for this challenge. She has shown ability and could be well-placed to challenge for a minor spot.
Floresta (IRE)
J: Ben Coen · T: J P Murtagh
J P Murtagh's runners are always respected, and Floresta could be an improving type over this distance. She has the potential to run into the frame.
Model confidence: 32% · capped at 50% for racing's structural variance
Full Racecard (13 runners)
Wgt = weight (st-lb) · OR = official rating · PR = Sky Sports power rating · HG = headgear (b/v/cp/t/h/p) · Last = days since last run
Key Race Factors
- •Competitive Listed race for fillies and mares over 1m 6f.
- •Large field of 13 runners increases the variability of the outcome.
- •Presence of multiple runners from top Irish stables (J P O'Brien, P Twomey, J P Murtagh).
- •Stamina and staying ability will be crucial over this distance.
- •Official going is not yet published, adding an element of uncertainty.
Risk Assessment
- •Large field size in a Listed race makes for a highly competitive contest.
- •Potential for unexposed horses to show significant improvement over the distance.
- •Unknown official going could favour certain types of runners.
- •High variance inherent in horse racing, especially in larger fields.
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Bet Moody (IRE) · AI confidence 35%
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How These Predictions Work
These predictions are AI-generated using current racecard data and search-grounded analysis. Horse racing is structurally high-variance — even the most-favoured horse wins only ~30–35% of races. Use AI predictions as one input among many, alongside your own form study and trusted tipsters. Bet responsibly.