🐎Horse Racing

Societies Welcome At Gowran Park Maiden

Gowran Park (IRE) · 17:07 (UK local)

Tuesday, 5 May 2026

Distance

Turf

Surface

TBC

Going

Runners

Prize: €17,000 added

AI Top 3 Picks

①P1 pick38%

Storm Piece

J: Colin Keane · T: G M Lyons

Showed significant promise on debut, finishing second. Comes from a top stable in G M Lyons and has the services of champion jockey Colin Keane, suggesting strong intent for a maiden win.

②P2 pick32%

Cill Mocheallog (IRE)

J: Billy Lee · T: P Twomey

Also finished second on her last outing, demonstrating ability. Trainer P Twomey has a good record with improving fillies, and Billy Lee is a reliable jockey.

③P3 pick25%

The Publican's Son (USA)

J: Dylan Browne McMonagle · T: J P O'Brien

Secured a third-place finish last time out, indicating he's close to breaking his maiden. Represents the powerful J P O'Brien yard with a talented young jockey aboard.

Model confidence: 35% · capped at 50% for racing's structural variance

Full Racecard (16 runners)

#	Draw	Horse	Age	Wgt	Form	OR	Last	Jockey	Trainer	HG	PR
1	2	Absoluteassignment (IRE)	3	9-8	07	—	10d	Gavin Ryan	A Mullins	—	0.0
2	11	Bamako Beach (IRE)	3	9-8	2-	—	229d	Jamie Powell	M O'Callaghan	h	0.0
3	13	Cosmic Funk (IRE)	3	9-8	8	—	13d	Gary Carroll	G M Lyons	—	0.0
4	9	Ragaire	3	9-8	—	—	16d	Scott McCullagh	J P O'Brien	—	0.0
5	3	Sancerre Rock (IRE)	3	9-8	6	—	10d	Andrew Slattery	A Slattery	—	0.0
6	1	Shaws Bay (IRE)	3	9-8	4	—	27d	Ben Coen	J P Murtagh	—	0.0
7	12	Starflow (IRE)	3	9-8	0-8	—	26d	Billy Lee	H De Bromhead	t	0.0
8	4	Starred (IRE)	3	9-8	832-	92	201d	J M Sheridan	J P O'Brien	t	0.0
9	10	③The Publican's Son (USA)	3	9-8	28-52	100	11d	Dylan Browne McMonagle	J P O'Brien	—	0.0
10	8	Casla's Eagle (IRE)	3	9-3	7	—	13d	Ronan Whelan	Peter Fahey	—	0.0
11	7	Glasarmi (IRE)	3	9-3	—	—	—	Luke McAteer	Rory Devine	—	0.0
12	5	Rodeo Blues (IRE)	3	9-3	—	—	23d	Declan McDonogh	J P O'Brien	—	0.0
13	6	Spiritofthedawn (IRE)	3	9-3	0-0	—	16d	Robert Whearty	F G Hand	ht	0.0
0	11	①Storm Piece	3	9-8	—	—	—	Colin Keane	G M Lyons	—	—
0	18	②Cill Mocheallog (IRE)	3	9-8	—	—	—	Billy Lee	P Twomey	—	—
0	3	Fort Vega (FR)	3	9-8	—	—	—	Robbie Colgan	S Lavery	—	—

Wgt = weight (st-lb) · OR = official rating · PR = Sky Sports power rating · HG = headgear (b/v/cp/t/h/p) · Last = days since last run

Key Race Factors

•Maiden race with 16 runners, including several unraced horses.
•Horses with prior placed form from top stables are preferred.
•Jockey bookings (Colin Keane, Billy Lee, Dylan Browne McMonagle) are strong indicators of stable confidence.
•Going expected to be Yielding, which should suit most runners.

Risk Assessment

Variance levelhigh

•Large field size (16 runners) increases race unpredictability.
•Presence of multiple unraced horses from reputable yards, creating unknown potential.
•Maiden status means form lines are often unproven or inconsistent.
•Potential for significant improvement from any runner, making it a challenging race to predict.

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How These Predictions Work

These predictions are AI-generated using current racecard data and search-grounded analysis. Horse racing is structurally high-variance — even the most-favoured horse wins only ~30–35% of races. Use AI predictions as one input among many, alongside your own form study and trusted tipsters. Bet responsibly.