🐎Horse RacingClass 2

Darley British EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Goodwood · 15:45 (UK local)

Saturday, 23 May 2026

1m 1f 197y

Distance

Turf

Surface

TBC

Going

Runners

Prize: £50,000 added

AI Top 3 Picks

①P1 pick35%

Evening Fades

J: Tom Marquand · T: W J Haggas

Trainer W.J. Haggas is in excellent recent form with a 20% strike rate. As an unexposed filly in a Novice Stakes, Evening Fades has significant scope for improvement and represents a top stable.

②P2 pick28%

Lady Magu

J: Ray Dawson · T: R Varian

From the respected R. Varian yard, Lady Magu is likely to be well-prepared for her debut or early career run. This stable often excels with fillies in similar races.

③P3 pick22%

Triumph (IRE)

J: S D Bowen · T: C Johnston

Trainer Charlie Johnston maintains a consistent strike rate (10%) and is known for having his horses fit and ready. Triumph could show improvement in this competitive novice event.

Model confidence: 25% · capped at 50% for racing's structural variance

Full Racecard (11 runners)

#	Draw	Horse	Age	Wgt	Form	OR	Last	Jockey	Trainer	HG	PR
1	4	Cixi (USA)	3	9-2	44-53	74	17d	P Cosgrave	M L W Bell	—	0.0
2	3	Kenkelly (IRE)	3	9-2	3	—	32d	H Crouch	Tom Clover	—	0.0
3	5	③Triumph (IRE)	3	9-2	3	—	28d	S D Bowen	C Johnston	—	0.0
4	2	①Evening Fades	3	9-0	4-	—	171d	Tom Marquand	W J Haggas	—	0.0
5	1	Guesstimate	3	9-0	32-03	69	18d	P J Dobbs	W J Haggas	—	0.0
6	6	②Lady Magu	3	9-0	5	—	26d	Ray Dawson	R Varian	—	0.0
7	8	Mother Dear	3	8-12	8	—	36d	Rob Hornby	H Morrison	—	0.0
8	7	St Hilda (IRE)	3	8-12	4-2	—	26d	David Probert	M P Tregoning	—	0.0
0	6	Liberate	3	9-2	—	—	—	K Shoemark	James Horton	—	—
0	10	Crystal Flyer	3	9-2	—	—	—	P J Dobbs	T Ward	—	—
0	10	Royal Mila	3	9-2	—	—	—	Tom Marquand	W J Haggas	—	—

Wgt = weight (st-lb) · OR = official rating · PR = Sky Sports power rating · HG = headgear (b/v/cp/t/h/p) · Last = days since last run

Key Race Factors

•Strong recent form of trainer W.J. Haggas.
•Nature of a Novice Stakes race with many unexposed runners.
•Goodwood's unique undulating track characteristics.
•Significant discrepancies and missing information in the provided runner data.
•Competitive field size of 11 runners.

Risk Assessment

Variance levelhigh

•Incomplete and conflicting runner data (duplicate jockeys/draws in original input).
•All horses are unexposed or lightly raced, increasing unpredictability.
•No official going information provided for the race.
•Competitive field size of 11 runners.

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How These Predictions Work

These predictions are AI-generated using current racecard data and search-grounded analysis. Horse racing is structurally high-variance — even the most-favoured horse wins only ~30–35% of races. Use AI predictions as one input among many, alongside your own form study and trusted tipsters. Bet responsibly.