🐎Horse RacingClass 5

James Bowen Ton Up Novices' Handicap Hurdle

Ffos Las · 15:48 (UK local)

Tuesday, 5 May 2026

2m 7f 191y

Distance

Turf

Surface

TBC

Going

Runners

Prize: £6,150 added

AI Top 3 Picks

①P1 pick35%

Constantinian (IRE)

J: James Davies · T: O Signy

Constantinian showed good recent form with a 3rd place finish and has proven stamina over similar staying trips on soft ground. Carrying a competitive weight and wearing a tongue tie, he looks well-pl…

②P2 pick30%

Star Turn

J: S Bowen · T: M Bowen

Returned from a long layoff with an encouraging 2nd place at Ffos Las over 2m 4f, suggesting fitness and course suitability. The strong M & S Bowen trainer/jockey combination adds to his appeal, despi…

③P3 pick25%

Les's Destiny Star (IRE)

J: Ben Jones · T: B Pauling

Showed recent improvement with a 3rd place last time out over this exact distance and class. Trainer B Pauling is in good form, which bodes well for this proven staying hurdler.

Model confidence: 35% · capped at 50% for racing's structural variance

Full Racecard (12 runners)

#	Draw	Horse	Age	Wgt	Form	OR	Last	Jockey	Trainer	HG	PR
1	—	Times Are Green (IRE)	6	12-0	5/727FP-	105	31d	C J Todd	Miss E C Lavelle	—	0.0
2	—	①Constantinian (IRE)	6	11-12	31/243-	103	44d	James Davies	O Signy	t	0.0
3	—	Parliamo (IRE)	6	11-12	43/8644-	103	35d	Mr D Andrews	Mrs M Rowley	—	0.0
4	—	③Les's Destiny Star (IRE)	7	11-4	0/4P843-	95	23d	Ben Jones	B Pauling	—	0.0
5	—	Hillwalk (IRE)	6	11-4	23/3472-	95	24d	C O'Farrell	N P Mulholland	—	0.0
6	—	Dessie Haze	8	11-3	3/47616-	94	14d	Conor Ring	P C Dando	—	0.0
7	—	Jaja Jimmy	6	10-8	5/U584P-	85	48d	Thomas Bellamy	Miss J S Davis	pt	0.0
8	—	Colby Mayfield (IRE)	6	10-5	58935-	82	40d	Sam Twiston-Davies	J L Flint	—	0.0
9	—	②Star Turn	6	10-5	2070P/2-	82	23d	S Bowen	M Bowen	vt	0.0
0	—	Pooley's Promise (IRE)	6	10-4	—	—	—	Brendan Powell	R Potter	—	—
0	—	Can't Say	9	11-6	—	—	—	James Davies	C J Down	—	—
0	—	Back Yourself (IRE)	6	11-1	—	—	—	Alan Johns	V R A Dartnall	—	—

Wgt = weight (st-lb) · OR = official rating · PR = Sky Sports power rating · HG = headgear (b/v/cp/t/h/p) · Last = days since last run

Key Race Factors

•Unknown official going conditions, which are crucial for Ffos Las.
•Stamina for the demanding 2m 7f 191y trip is paramount.
•Competitiveness of a Class 5 Novices' Handicap Hurdle.
•Recent form and signs of improvement from key contenders.
•Trainer and jockey form, especially for horses returning from a break.

Risk Assessment

Variance levelhigh

•Official going conditions are not yet published, introducing significant uncertainty.
•Large field of 12 runners in a handicap hurdle increases the variance of outcomes.
•Several runners had no form provided in the analysis, limiting a complete field assessment.
•As a Novices' Handicap, runners may have less experience over obstacles, increasing the chance of errors.

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How These Predictions Work

These predictions are AI-generated using current racecard data and search-grounded analysis. Horse racing is structurally high-variance — even the most-favoured horse wins only ~30–35% of races. Use AI predictions as one input among many, alongside your own form study and trusted tipsters. Bet responsibly.