🐎Horse Racing

Ballygowan Maiden Hurdle

Down Royal (IRE) · 13:35 (UK local)

Monday, 4 May 2026

2m 1f 88y

Distance

Turf

Surface

TBC

Going

Runners

Prize: €12,000 added

AI Top 3 Picks

①P1 pick38%

Theflyingking (IRE)

J: Kevin Healy · T: G Elliott

Theflyingking boasts strong bumper form, including a win and a second at Down Royal over a similar trip. Despite a previous fall over hurdles, his proven ability and trainer's consistent record make h…

②P2 pick28%

Small Fry (IRE)

J: Hugh Horgan · T: J P O'Brien

Trained by J P O'Brien, who has an excellent 20% strike rate recently, Small Fry is likely to be well-prepared for his hurdle debut. The stable's form suggests he could run a big race.

③P3 pick20%

Angelo Dundee (IRE)

J: Mike O'Connor · T: H De Bromhead

From the reputable Henry de Bromhead yard, Angelo Dundee represents a stable with a solid 12% strike rate. While specific form isn't detailed, the trainer's prowess makes him a credible threat for a p…

Model confidence: 35% · capped at 50% for racing's structural variance

Full Racecard (26 runners)

#	Draw	Horse	Age	Wgt	Form	OR	Last	Jockey	Trainer	HG	PR
1	—	③Angelo Dundee (IRE)	7	11-12	144/23-	—	336d	Mike O'Connor	H De Bromhead	—	0.0
2	—	Ehteyat (GER)	7	11-12	/P3230-	121	24d	Tom Joseph Kelly	M K Flannery	—	0.0
3	—	Loyal Touch (IRE)	6	11-12	/-	—	31d	Gavin Brouder	D Hogan	t	0.0
4	—	O'Reilly (FR)	8	11-12	9/3320-	112	184d	John Shinnick	Peter Fahey	t	0.0
5	—	Persian Bliss	5	11-12	/-	—	52d	Ricky Doyle	D Hogan	t	0.0
6	—	②Small Fry (IRE)	5	11-12	35/-	—	185d	Hugh Horgan	J P O'Brien	—	0.0
7	—	Sneddy Eddie (IRE)	6	11-12	/000-	—	149d	Paddy Cleary	D Broad	h	0.0
8	—	①Theflyingking (IRE)	6	11-12	1221/F2-	—	168d	Kevin Healy	G Elliott	—	0.0
9	—	Oriole	7	11-5	/-	—	157d	Thomas O'Connor	M Fahey	—	0.0
10	—	Victoria Kesia (IRE)	5	11-5	/6P-	—	144d	Adam Leahy	J J Hanlon	—	0.0
11	—	Certamen (IRE)	5	11-4	4/056-	—	198d	Kieren Buckley	E Buckley	—	0.0
12	—	Clone Cross	5	11-4	34/F36P-	—	30d	Eoin Walsh	S Cavanagh	—	0.0
13	—	Glendaars Secret (IRE)	5	11-4	—	—	—	P J O'Hanlon	D A McLoughlin	—	0.0
14	—	King Of The Greys (IRE)	5	11-4	408-	—	14d	Ben Kennedy	Peter Fahey	—	0.0
15	—	Berto Ramirez	4	10-12	/5740-	115	52d	Aidan Kelly	A McNamara	—	0.0
16	—	Astelia (IRE)	7	10-11	222270-	106	169d	Ethan O'Sullivan	Peter Fahey	—	0.0
17	—	Cinnabar Moth (IRE)	5	10-11	6/098-	—	15d	R Deegan	Liz Doyle	—	0.0
18	—	Hathaways Cottage (IRE)	8	10-11	PPP4P5-	—	22d	Ben Harvey	D M Christie	t	0.0
19	—	Mollys Star (IRE)	5	10-11	569-	—	30d	Eoghan Finegan	P E Collins	h	0.0
20	—	Unknown Fortune (IRE)	8	10-11	—	—	—	Liam McKenna	J P Ryan	—	0.0
21	—	Brohatna (IRE)	6	11-4	0/	—	468d	Reserve 1	M Rice	—	0.0
22	—	Brave Lady (IRE)	5	10-11	30-	—	25d	Reserve 2	Peter Fahey	—	0.0
23	—	Betty's Glen (IRE)	4	10-5	5-	—	75d	Reserve 3	J J Hanlon	—	0.0
0	—	Black Soul (IRE)	6	11-4	—	—	—	H Morgan	P Kiely	—	—
0	—	Marlacoo (IRE)	4	11-10	—	—	—	Alex Harvey	S R B Crawford	—	—
0	—	Ossie's Lodge (IRE)	4	11-10	—	—	—	Mr J L Gleeson	A J Martin	—	—

Wgt = weight (st-lb) · OR = official rating · PR = Sky Sports power rating · HG = headgear (b/v/cp/t/h/p) · Last = days since last run

Key Race Factors

•Theflyingking's strong bumper form and course experience.
•J P O'Brien's excellent 20% strike rate with Small Fry.
•Henry de Bromhead's consistent stable form with Angelo Dundee.
•Large field of 26 runners increasing race complexity and variance.
•Down Royal's undulating track requiring stamina and a turn of foot.

Risk Assessment

Variance levelhigh

•Large field (26 runners) in a maiden hurdle, inherently high variance.
•Theflyingking's previous fall over hurdles at this course is a significant risk factor.
•Many runners are unexposed, making form assessment challenging.
•Going not yet published, which could impact performance.

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How These Predictions Work

These predictions are AI-generated using current racecard data and search-grounded analysis. Horse racing is structurally high-variance — even the most-favoured horse wins only ~30–35% of races. Use AI predictions as one input among many, alongside your own form study and trusted tipsters. Bet responsibly.