🐎Horse RacingClass 2

CAA Stellar Lily Agnes EBF Conditions Stakes (GBB Race)

Chester · 13:30 (UK local)

Wednesday, 6 May 2026

5f 15y

Distance

Turf

Surface

TBC

Going

Runners

Prize: £50,000 added

AI Top 3 Picks

①P1 pick35%

Wait Geordie

J: Oisin Murphy · T: H Palmer

This colt represents a strong combination of trainer Hugo Palmer and top jockey Oisin Murphy, who are adept with juveniles. While draw is crucial at Chester, the connections suggest a well-prepared de…

②P2 pick28%

Ziggy's Phoenix (IRE)

J: R L Moore · T: R Hannon

Richard Hannon and Ryan Moore are a formidable team, especially with two-year-olds. This runner is likely to be well-schooled and ready to perform on debut, making them a strong contender for a place.

③P3 pick22%

Final Appeal (IRE)

J: C Lee · T: K R Burke

Karl Burke has an excellent record with early two-year-olds, and Clifford Lee is a capable jockey. This horse should be fit and ready to run a competitive race, potentially securing a minor placing.

Model confidence: 30% · capped at 50% for racing's structural variance

Full Racecard (11 runners)

#	Draw	Horse	Age	Wgt	Form	OR	Last	Jockey	Trainer	HG	PR
1	1	Adonius (IRE)	2	9-9	11	—	24d	Kaiya Fraser	R Menzies	—	0.0
2	4	③Final Appeal (IRE)	2	9-4	21	—	15d	C Lee	K R Burke	—	0.0
3	5	Hickory Lad (IRE)	2	9-4	21	—	7d	Rowan Scott	Phillip Makin	—	0.0
4	3	①Wait Geordie	2	9-4	1	—	31d	Oisin Murphy	H Palmer	—	0.0
5	6	Black Treasure (FR)	2	8-13	—	—	—	S H James	Ollie Sangster	—	0.0
6	7	Cailin Aine (IRE)	2	8-13	3	—	16d	D Allan	T D Easterby	—	0.0
7	8	Fern Clyde	2	8-13	6	—	21d	D Fentiman	T D Easterby	—	0.0
8	2	Yahaira (IRE)	2	8-13	—	—	19d	K Shoemark	Tom Dascombe	—	0.0
0	1	Ali Shuffle	2	8-13	—	—	—	S H James	K R Burke	—	—
0	6	Seraphim Angel	2	8-13	—	—	—	Pierre-Louis Jamin	Tom Dascombe	—	—
0	1	②Ziggy's Phoenix (IRE)	2	8-13	—	—	—	R L Moore	R Hannon	—	—

Wgt = weight (st-lb) · OR = official rating · PR = Sky Sports power rating · HG = headgear (b/v/cp/t/h/p) · Last = days since last run

Key Race Factors

•Significant draw bias at Chester over 5f, favouring low numbers.
•Competitive Class 2 conditions stakes for two-year-olds.
•Field of 11 runners over 5 furlongs and 15 yards.
•Substantial prize money (£50,000) attracting quality juveniles.
•Assumed Good to Soft/Good going conditions.

Risk Assessment

Variance levelhigh

•Inherent unpredictability of 2-year-old races, with many making their debut.
•Large field size (11 runners) increasing variance and potential for traffic issues.
•Specific draw numbers for runners are unknown, which is a critical factor at Chester.
•Limited or no prior form for most runners makes assessment challenging.

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How These Predictions Work

These predictions are AI-generated using current racecard data and search-grounded analysis. Horse racing is structurally high-variance — even the most-favoured horse wins only ~30–35% of races. Use AI predictions as one input among many, alongside your own form study and trusted tipsters. Bet responsibly.