🐎Horse RacingClass 2Race Completed

Grandad Bill Whinnow EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Carlisle · 14:40 (UK local)

Friday, 29 May 2026

Distance

Turf

Surface

Good (Good to Firm in places)

Going

Runners

Prize: £21,000 added

AI Top 3 Picks

①P1 pick35%

Sands Of Spain (IRE)

J: D Tudhope · T: A M Balding

Despite being a debutant, the combination of trainer Andrew Balding and jockey Daniel Tudhope is exceptionally strong, both boasting a 25% strike rate in the last 14 days. This suggests the horse is w…

②P2 pick40%

May Bee In Profit

J: Sean Kirrane · T: T D Easterby

This horse has the most race experience (three runs) and has shown clear progression, finishing 2nd and 3rd in its last two outings. This experience will be invaluable against many debutants and less…

③P3 pick30%

Tamam Star (IRE)

J: ? · T: K R Burke

Has two runs under its belt, finishing 4th and 3rd, indicating a level of ability. Trainer Karl Burke is in excellent form with a 21% strike rate, suggesting this horse is well-prepared.

Model confidence: 35% · capped at 50% for racing's structural variance

Full Racecard (11 runners)

#	Draw	Horse	Age	Wgt	Form	OR	Last	Jockey	Trainer	HG	PR
1	7	Lincoln Warrior (IRE)	2	9-7	—	—	—	Jason Hart	I Furtado	—	—
2	2	③Tamam Star (IRE)	2	9-7	43	—	27d	Jack Nicholls	K R Burke	—	—
4	1	Brixworth Bandit	2	9-4	7	—	25d	Tom Kiely-Marshall	B Smart	—	—
5	8	State of Gold (IRE)	2	9-2	8	—	39d	Joanna Mason	Craig Lidster	—	—
6	3	Call Nicki (IRE)	2	8-13	43	—	13d	D Fentiman	T D Easterby	—	—
7	4	Justice Time (IRE)	2	8-13	—	—	—	Ben Robinson	B Ellison	—	—
8	6	②May Bee In Profit	2	8-13	923	—	11d	Sean Kirrane	T D Easterby	—	—
3	5	Aodhan	2	9-4	—	—	—	Non Runner	R Menzies	—	—
0	9	①Sands Of Spain (IRE)	2	9-4	—	—	—	D Tudhope	A M Balding	—	—
0	4	Ain't Nobody (IRE)	2	9-7	—	—	—	T Eaves	K A Ryan	—	—
0	4	Emperor's Son (IRE)	2	9-7	—	—	—	O J Orr	R A Fahey	—	—

Wgt = weight (st-lb) · OR = official rating · PR = Sky Sports power rating · HG = headgear (b/v/cp/t/h/p) · Last = days since last run

Key Race Factors

•Class 2 turf sprint over 5 furlongs for 11 two-year-olds.
•Uphill finish at Carlisle demands stamina from young horses.
•Absence of official going information is a significant variable for this track.
•Strong trainer/jockey combinations for debutants versus race experience for others.
•Minimal and inconsistent draw bias for 5f at Carlisle, unlikely to be decisive.

Risk Assessment

Variance levelmedium

•Many unexposed two-year-olds, including several debutants, create uncertainty.
•Uncertainty regarding official going, which can significantly impact Carlisle's stiff track.
•Uphill finish tests stamina, which is an unknown for many juveniles.
•Competitive field with multiple contenders showing progressive form or strong connections.

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How These Predictions Work

These predictions are AI-generated using current racecard data and search-grounded analysis. Horse racing is structurally high-variance — even the most-favoured horse wins only ~30–35% of races. Use AI predictions as one input among many, alongside your own form study and trusted tipsters. Bet responsibly.