🐎Horse RacingClass 4

EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 2)

Beverley · 14:30 (UK local)

Monday, 4 May 2026

Distance

Turf

Surface

TBC

Going

Runners

Prize: £11,500 added

AI Top 3 Picks

①P1 pick28%

Explainingislosing

J: O J Orr · T: R A Fahey

Trainer Richard Fahey has a strong record with debutants in maiden races, often having them well-prepared for their first outing. The jockey O.J. Orr is also a capable rider.

②P2 pick22%

Mr Darling

J: P Mulrennan · T: B Smart

Brian Smart's stable can produce a competitive newcomer, and jockey Paul Mulrennan is a seasoned professional who knows how to get the best out of young horses.

③P3 pick18%

Moonlight Tango

J: Shane Gray · T: K A Ryan

Kevin Ryan's yard is always respected in juvenile races, and with Shane Gray aboard, this horse could show significant promise on debut.

Model confidence: 25% · capped at 50% for racing's structural variance

Full Racecard (14 runners)

#	Draw	Horse	Age	Wgt	Form	OR	Last	Jockey	Trainer	HG	PR
1	2	Craven Force (IRE)	2	9-7	6	—	11d	S H James	Craig Lidster	—	0.0
2	4	Enemy Action (IRE)	2	9-7	—	—	—	Cam Hardie	Ollie Pears	—	0.0
3	11	①Explainingislosing	2	9-7	—	—	—	O J Orr	R A Fahey	—	0.0
4	7	Jimmy You Mushroom (IRE)	2	9-7	—	—	—	D Nolan	T Coyle & K Wood	—	0.0
5	10	②Mr Darling	2	9-7	—	—	—	P Mulrennan	B Smart	—	0.0
6	3	Ponte Carlo (IRE)	2	9-7	3	—	22d	D Allan	T D Easterby	—	0.0
7	5	Bella Lucia	2	9-2	—	—	—	Connor Beasley	G Tutty	—	0.0
8	6	Lady Dublin	2	9-2	4	—	19d	Harry Russell	Ollie Pears	—	0.0
9	9	May Bee In Profit	2	9-2	9	—	19d	Sean Kirrane	T D Easterby	—	0.0
10	8	③Moonlight Tango	2	9-2	6	—	16d	Shane Gray	K A Ryan	—	0.0
11	1	Spirit Of Mary	2	9-2	—	—	—	A Mullen	B Haslam	—	0.0
0	13	Saucy Jane	2	9-2	—	—	—	S H James	Jack Morland	—	—
0	12	Call Me Harswell (IRE)	2	9-2	—	—	—	Jason Hart	R Fell & S Murray	—	—
0	9	Nellie Leylax (IRE)	2	9-7	—	—	—	Pierre-Louis Jamin	Tom Dascombe	—	—

Wgt = weight (st-lb) · OR = official rating · PR = Sky Sports power rating · HG = headgear (b/v/cp/t/h/p) · Last = days since last run

Key Race Factors

•Beverley's 5f course has a significant draw bias, heavily favoring low-drawn horses (stalls 1 to 3 account for over half of all winners).
•The course is uphill throughout the 5f sprint, demanding stamina from early speed.
•Maiden race for unexposed two-year-olds, making form assessment challenging.
•Large field of 14 runners increases race complexity and potential for interference.

Risk Assessment

Variance levelhigh

•Maiden race with all horses unexposed, leading to high unpredictability.
•Large field size (14 runners) increases the chance of a rough race and traffic issues.
•Strong draw bias at Beverley 5f, but stall numbers are unknown, adding to uncertainty.
•Official going not yet published, which could significantly impact performance.

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Bet Explainingislosing · AI confidence 28%

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How These Predictions Work

These predictions are AI-generated using current racecard data and search-grounded analysis. Horse racing is structurally high-variance — even the most-favoured horse wins only ~30–35% of races. Use AI predictions as one input among many, alongside your own form study and trusted tipsters. Bet responsibly.