🐎Horse RacingClass 3

Blast Event Hire EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)

Bath · 14:15 (UK local)

Monday, 4 May 2026

5f 10y

Distance

Turf

Surface

TBC

Going

Runners

Prize: £12,000 added

AI Top 3 Picks

①P1 pick38%

Top Cote (IRE)

J: P Cosgrave · T: Jack Morland

Top Cote showed significant ability on debut in a higher class (Class 2), finishing a close second. This performance suggests a strong class edge over this Class 3 field, and with a favorable draw, he…

②P2 pick32%

Tree Wizard

J: William Cox · T: A Watson

As a debutant, Tree Wizard is an unknown, but he comes from the red-hot Archie Watson yard and has the most advantageous draw (13) for Bath's 5f, making him a strong contender.

③P3 pick25%

Jolly Good Fellows (IRE)

J: Jack Doughty · T: Dr R Newland & J Insole

Jolly Good Fellows has shown consistent form by placing third in both his starts. While needing to find a bit more to win, his demonstrated ability makes him a solid each-way prospect.

Model confidence: 40% · capped at 50% for racing's structural variance

Full Racecard (16 runners)

#	Draw	Horse	Age	Wgt	Form	OR	Last	Jockey	Trainer	HG	PR
1	8	Binfluencer	2	9-7	—	—	—	Rhys Clutterbuck	G & J Moore	—	0.0
2	1	Postremo (IRE)	2	9-7	—	—	—	Taylor Fisher	J S Moore	—	0.0
3	2	Terry O	2	9-7	—	—	—	D C Costello	J & S Best	—	0.0
4	7	①Top Cote (IRE)	2	9-7	2	—	9d	P Cosgrave	Jack Morland	—	0.0
5	13	②Tree Wizard	2	9-7	—	—	—	William Cox	A Watson	—	0.0
6	10	Zelen	2	9-7	—	—	—	William Pyle	D Loughnane	—	0.0
7	3	Dee's Star (IRE)	2	9-2	6	—	17d	Darragh Keenan	Michael Keady	—	0.0
8	11	Devon Angel	2	9-2	70	—	17d	Jack Gilligan	B R Millman	—	0.0
9	5	Doha Rd	2	9-2	9	—	17d	K T O'Neill	J Butler	—	0.0
10	6	③Jolly Good Fellows (IRE)	2	9-2	33	—	13d	Jack Doughty	Dr R Newland & J Insole	—	0.0
11	4	Ron's Angel	2	9-2	—	—	—	Callum Hutchinson	J Butler	—	0.0
12	12	Sayidah Ardad	2	9-2	—	—	—	Tyler Heard	R Hughes	—	0.0
13	9	Tricky Jenny	2	9-2	5	—	30d	William Carson	James Owen	—	0.0
0	2	Saffron Dandy (IRE)	2	9-2	—	—	—	Joe Leavy	R Hannon	—	—
0	6	Star Anthem (IRE)	2	9-7	—	—	—	R Kingscote	C G Cox	—	—
0	2	Succession (IRE)	2	9-7	—	—	—	K Shoemark	C G Cox	—	—

Wgt = weight (st-lb) · OR = official rating · PR = Sky Sports power rating · HG = headgear (b/v/cp/t/h/p) · Last = days since last run

Key Race Factors

•#4 Top Cote (IRE) has a significant class edge from a strong debut in a higher grade.
•Bath's 5f 10y course features an uphill finish, often favoring strong closers.
•High draws are favored at Bath over 5f, with #5 Tree Wizard having the most advantageous draw (13).
•Trainer A Watson (for #5 Tree Wizard) is in excellent form with a 32% strike rate.
•Seven runners are making their debut, adding an element of unpredictability to the race.

Risk Assessment

Variance levelmedium

•Presence of 7 debutants introduces significant unknowns regarding their ability.
•#5 Tree Wizard is a first-time starter, inherently carrying higher risk despite positive indicators.
•The unique Bath track and uphill finish can be challenging for inexperienced two-year-olds.
•While #4 Top Cote is a strong pick, any 2yo maiden race carries inherent variance.

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How These Predictions Work

These predictions are AI-generated using current racecard data and search-grounded analysis. Horse racing is structurally high-variance — even the most-favoured horse wins only ~30–35% of races. Use AI predictions as one input among many, alongside your own form study and trusted tipsters. Bet responsibly.