๐ŸŽHorse RacingClass 4Race Completed

Peroni Nastro Azzurro 0.0% Blue Handicap

Ascot ยท 16:40 (UK local)

Saturday, 9 May 2026

6f

Distance

Turf

Surface

Good to Firm (Good in Places)

Going

22

Runners

Prize: ยฃ25,650 added

AI Top 3 Picks

โ‘ P1 pick28%

Neyva's Angel

J: Oisin Murphy ยท T: Martin Dunne

Top jockey Oisin Murphy takes the ride, which is a significant positive in a competitive handicap. The horse has shown glimpses of ability that could be unlocked here, making it a strong contender.

โ‘กP2 pick22%

Azure Zain (FR)

J: Warren Fentiman ยท T: R A Fahey

Represents a strong stable in Richard Fahey, known for preparing horses well for handicaps. Expected to be competitive if handling the track and going conditions.

โ‘ขP3 pick18%

Tokyo Joe

J: K Shoemark ยท T: E Walker

Comes from a reputable yard and has a capable jockey in K Shoemark. Could benefit from a strong pace and run into the places in this competitive field.

Model confidence: 35% ยท capped at 50% for racing's structural variance

Full Racecard (22 runners)

#DrawHorse
18Lord Roxby (IRE)
210Daring Legend
316Cressida Wildes
413Juan Les Pins
52Cajetan
69Twilight Jet (IRE)
714Waistcoat
812True Promise
1017The Bitter Moose (IRE)
116Rage Of Thunder (IRE)
125โ‘กAzure Zain (FR)
131Hectic
1415โ‘ขTokyo Joe
154Thunderous Love
163Fantasy Master
1718Dicko The Legend (IRE)
1811โ‘ Neyva's Angel
1919Serenity Dream (IRE)
97Arantes Nascimento
01Northcliff (IRE)
027Northcliff (IRE)
07Coco Bear (IRE)

Wgt = weight (st-lb) ยท OR = official rating ยท PR = Sky Sports power rating ยท HG = headgear (b/v/cp/t/h/p) ยท Last = days since last run

Key Race Factors

  • โ€ขLarge, competitive field of 22 runners, inherently increasing race variance and unpredictability.
  • โ€ขOfficial going is not yet published, which is a significant unknown factor for turf performance and horse suitability.
  • โ€ขImportance of draw bias at Ascot over 6 furlongs, which can heavily influence the outcome depending on the starting stalls.
  • โ€ขTrainer and jockey form will be crucial in such a tight handicap, where small margins can make a big difference.

Risk Assessment

Variance levelhigh
  • โ€ขLarge field size (22 runners) significantly increases the number of variables and potential for interference.
  • โ€ขUnpublished going conditions introduce a major variable that could favour specific types of runners, making pre-race assessment challenging.
  • โ€ขMultiple in-form contenders and potential pace scenarios make it difficult to confidently separate the top chances, leading to a wide-open race.
Velobet

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How These Predictions Work

These predictions are AI-generated using current racecard data and search-grounded analysis. Horse racing is structurally high-variance โ€” even the most-favoured horse wins only ~30โ€“35% of races. Use AI predictions as one input among many, alongside your own form study and trusted tipsters. Bet responsibly.